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Below are the 20 most recent journal entries recorded in Huts' LiveJournal:

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    Sunday, May 18th, 2003
    10:39 am
    Tory leadership race.
    I'll go through the Tory "racers" in order of committed delegates. I'm only going to do the top 4.

    Peter MacKay

    Born: New Glasgow, Nova Scotia
    Age: 37
    Percentage of committed delegates: 42
    Education: Bachelor of Arts from Acadia University, Law degree from Dalhousie University
    Occupation prior to politics: Crown prosecutor
    Experience:
    First elected to the House of Commons in 1997 for the riding of Pictou-Antigonish-Guysborough in Nova Scotia, and re-elected in 2000. Served as Conservative House Leader from 1997 until 2002, when he resigned to pursue campaigning for the party's leadership.
    Thoughts:
    The likely winner of the competition, Peter MacKay doesn't seem terribly impressive to me. Six years in the House of Commons does not a Prime Minister make (but then, Stephen Harper only had 3 and a half years of parliamentary experience before taking over the Alliance, so at least he's better off than Harper). MacKay's policies are irritatingly run-of-the-mill right-wing stuff: closer ties to the US, more money for the military, provincial rights, tougher sentences for criminals, no major changes to the social status quo. MacKay is to the right of Joe Clark on the whole. He does a good job of making himself seem moderate when faced with a sympathetic journalist, but has difficulty holding his own in a debate. Very much the "establishment man", MacKay is the most boring choice, but also, as I mentioned above, the most likely. Yawn. Watch out for a first ballot victory.

    David Orchard

    Age: ? (50s)
    Born: Borden, Saskatchewan
    Percentage of committed delegates: 25
    Education: Studied at the University of Saskatchewan and Laval University, but no degrees conferred
    Occupation prior to politics: Farmer
    Experience:
    David Orchard has never held elected office. He ran for the leadership of the Progressive-Conservative Party in 1998, finishing third on the first place. He was the only candidate to challenge to Joe Clark on the second ballot, where he was soundly defeated. He ran for a seat in the House of Commons in 2000, but was defeated by a member from the Canadian Alliance. Now he runs again for the leadership again.
    Thoughts:
    Canada's wackiest political maverick, David Orchard is a quite an interesting character - and I like him. Orchard's almost singular focus on Canadian sovereignty in the face of ever-expanding Americanism has attracted a large band of extremely ardent followers. To call Orchard and his disciples "Canadian Nationalists" would be an understatement. Orchard's conservatism is deeply routed in the philosophies of English conservatives like Edmund Burke and Benjamin Disraeli and, like most of the candidates, he speaks at length about John A. Macdonald. I worry that Orchard's reliance on 200 year-old philosophy is misguided, and his view of history is a tad simplistic. Nonetheless, I'm rooting for Orchard.

    Jim Prentice

    Age: 46
    Born: South Porcupine, Ontario
    Percentage of committed delegates: 15
    Education: Bachelor of Commerce from the University of Alberta, law degree from Dalhousie University
    Occupation prior to politics: Lawyer
    Experience:
    Jim Prentice has never held elected office.
    Thoughts:
    Despite being a political rookie, Prentice seems to have impressed quite a lot of people with his slick, well-organized campaign. It doesn't hurt that Prentice has absolutely battered MacKay during recent debates, going after the frontrunner quite aggressively. Observers are now describing Prentice as "scrappy". Prentice also seems to be pretty clever; according my sources, he's been working backroom deals to undermine MacKay and steal his support from automatic delegates. If Prentice could gain Orchard's support, he might be able to topple MacKay (but it wouldn't work the other way around). If the contest lasts more than just one ballot, watch out for Prentice.

    Scott Brison

    Age: 35
    Born: His website doesn't say, but I'm assuming it's Nova Scotia
    Percentage of committed delegates: 10
    Education: Bachelor of Commerce from Dalhousie University
    Occupation prior to politics: Businessman
    Experience:
    Scott Brison was first elected to the House of Commons in 1997 for the riding of Kings-Hants, Nova Scotia and, after giving his seat to Joe Clark for a few months, was re-elected in 2000. Since his election to parliament, Brison has served as the party's Finance Critic. Brison has occassionally been described as a businessman with a political career on the side.
    Thoughts:
    Handsome, impeccably dressed, quick-witted and articulate, Brison would seem to be a good choice for party leader. He bills himself as the "ideas candidate", and the assessment is a fair one; the only problem is that Brison's "ideas" are pretty damn radical. Get a load of a few of Brison's policies:
    -Two-tiered health care
    -Customs union and full economic partnership with the United States
    -Corporate tax-free zones in Canada in the stead of investment agencies
    -Employers would no longer have to contribute to employment insurance
    Yikes. That's pretty dramatic stuff - I'd need a bottle of Jack Daniels to be able to swallow that pill. I do like his idea to have the Senate elected by PR though. During the debates, Brison and Prentice have "doubled-teamed" MacKay; look for them to do likewise on the convention floor.
    Saturday, May 3rd, 2003
    12:32 pm
    Well, there'll be a televised debate between Paul Martin, Sheila Copps and John Manley today at 3:30 pm. I'll be interested to see it. Paul Martin has been unveiling his platform, and it's been disconcertingly conservative. Opposition to abortion, opposition to gay marriage, the creation of a cabinet committee on Canada-US relations to be chaired by the PM (ugh), joining American missile defense, and "not being afraid to act without the United Nations." Ugh...I hope to hell that Copps and Manley can push him a little more to the left. Paul Martin sounds like Stephen Harper in baggier skin. Or a less charming version of Brian Mulroney. Jean Chretien is starting to look better and better by comparison. He's now moving ahead with the decriminalization of marijuana, despite stiff opposition from the US. The Canadian Alliance, which had previously supported decriminalizing marijuana, is now opposing it because the US doesn't like it. Fucking simpering obseqious little bootlickers...

    Current Mood: tired
    Thursday, May 1st, 2003
    12:20 am
    Steve: According to my book on Frederick the Great, war is like bacarat. Bet against the guy who has to win, because he rarely does.

    Dave: War is like Burt Bacharach. It really, really sucks.
    Wednesday, April 30th, 2003
    12:05 pm
    Armour me with futile aspirations.
    Yesterday I had my Canadian history exam which, if I do say so myself, I obliterated. I filled up about one booklet each - single spaced - for my essays. That should - knock on wood - be a good mark. I also received my final essay and my tutorial mark. I must say that the tutorial mark was rather bizarre. She gave me an A, saying that my attendance was perfect, I led the discussions, but that I was "distant." Zuh? Anyway, I got A- on the essay; I was a bit disappointed, but I suppose I shouldn't complain about a grade over 80. It's just that I was quite proud of the essay. She penalized me for using a source from the 1950s, and not using C.P. Stacey's Canada in the Age of Conflict which I specifically looked for, but all copies were taken. Grumble. After that I hung out with Christine in the evening, and we watched Far From Heaven. It was good, but I think I might have enjoyed it more if it'd had a greater focus on the gay issue and Dennis Quaid's character in general. Thematically, I thought they were treading on trodden trails, if you'll excuse the alliteration (4 t-words in one sentence...I'm usually not so cheesy). We discussed quite a number of things, including my vague and random attempts to categorize "chick flicks."

    I'm distraught to report that someone is putting videotape evidence from the Bernardo trial on the internet. Ugh...I think that's absolutely disgusting. The victims are being exploited. Those girls were only 15 and 16...it makes me very upset just to think about it. Anyone who would want to look at that stuff is sick.

    Current Mood: woozy
    Thursday, April 24th, 2003
    5:33 am
    Wouldn't you love a biography?
    Considering I read a biography of Tommy Douglas in its entirely yesterday, I figure I'll pass on a summary of it to you people. Or something. I didn't proofread it because a man with unbelievable BO is sitting next to me and I can't take it anymore. Sorry.

    Biography: Tommy Douglas
    Thomas Clement Douglas was born in Falkirk, Scotland, on October 20, 1904, the son of an iron moulder. In 1911 Douglas and his family immigrated to Winnipeg, Manitoba. A knee injury that Tommy sustained while in Scotland flared up, requiring repeated surgeries which badly drained his family's tiny bank account. The Douglases could not afford a specialist and Tommy's leg was about to be amputated until a doctor from eastern Canada agreed to perform an experimental operation on him for free. The operation worked, Tommy's leg was saved and, though grateful to the doctor, he could not help but think that such treatment should have been offered to all, not just one lucky boy such as he. "I came to believe," Douglas would later explain, "that health services ought not to have a price-tag on them, and that people should be able to get whatever health services they needed irrespective of their individual capacity to pay." It would prove to be prophetic.

    When the First World War began Tommy's father, a veteran of the South African War, was called up for duty. Tommy and his family returned to Scotland to be in the company of his maternal grandparents. With his father absent, Tommy had little choice but to quit school and take up employment, wherever he could find it, to support his family. When his father finally did return from the war, the horrors of the trenches left him physically and emotionally scarred, and Tommy continued to work. In 1919, the Douglases returned to Winnipeg, just in time to see the Winnipeg General Strike. In a wave of post-war discontent, strikers had paralyzed the entire city of Winnipeg. Douglas and a friend watched from a rooftop with horror as the Mounter Police, led by soon-to-be Tory Prime Minister Arthur Meighen, mowed down demonstraters with bullets and horse-charges. The minister at Douglas' church, no less than James Shaver (J.S.) Woodsworth (see: http://www.canadianencyclopedia.ca/index.cfm?PgNm=TCE&ArticleId=A0008704), was among the protestors who were arrested. Woodsworth's teachings of a Social Gospel - the idea of creating God's Kingdom on Earth - had a profound influence on Douglas.

    For the time being, though, Tommy continued to work, becoming a printer's apprentice. In 1922, at the age of 17, the 5'6", 135 lbs. Douglas became the amateur lightweight boxing champion of Manitoba, much to his family's chargin. He also became a fixture at local entertainment events, delivering popular monologues and readings of Robert Burns. One patron of the arts offered to pay Tommy's way through drama school, but Tommy declined. In the early 1920s Douglas finally returned to school, finishing up his secondary school diploma and then heading off to Brandon College, where he studied theology. During his theology studies Douglas worked as a Supply Minister, a role in which he was sent all over the province to areas that needed a preacher. He was head of the Brandon College debate team, and led it to victory over the team from Oxford University. Douglas was ordained a Baptist Minister in 1929. Just a few months before, he was married - his best man was Stanley Knowles (see: http://www.canadianencyclopedia.ca/index.cfm?PgNm=TCE&TCE_Version=A&ArticleId=A0004357&MenuClosed=0).

    Douglas was sent to Weyburn, Saskatchewan, to head up the Baptist Church, where he witnessed first hand the failure of capitalism during the Great Depression. The crash of world markets in 1929 caused a massive bottoming out of the price of wheat - the product on which Saskatchewan's economy was most dependent. Mother Nature poured brutal salt on the wounds with a terrible drought, which uprooted the land and caused tremendous dust storms. Worse yet, plagues of locusts swept through the fields, devouring what little crops could actually be grown. The extent of the crisis seemed Biblical. Douglas did what he could to help out, taking in and reforming a group of poor, delinquent young boys, creating an odd-jobs agency to help put people back to work, and raising charity for the unemployed. Yet everything seemed so futile, as absolutely nothing could stop the downward spiral in Saskatchewan. In 1931, Douglas visited Chicago and was moved by the level of poverty - despite the lack of any natural disaster of the sort that had befallen Saskatchewan, Chicago's conditions seemed just as bad. The problem, Douglas surmised, was not with Mother Nature, but with the man-made capitalist system. Changing that system meant changing the law, and that meant politics.

    Douglas early political career was rather desultory. Douglas teamed up with M.J. Coldwell (see http://www.canadianencyclopedia.ca/index.cfm?PgNm=TCE&TCE_Version=A&ArticleId=A0001749&MenuClosed=0) to create the Farmer-Labour Party of Saskatchewan, with Coldwell as leader and Douglas as president. Douglas played only a minor role in the creation of Co-operative Commonwealth Federation, but absolutely loved its "Regina Manifesto", which called for public health insurance, employment insurance, penion plans, expansion of Crown Corporations and the adoption of a Canadian constitution with an entrenched Charter of Rights and Freedoms. And to think Pierre Trudeau was only 14 at the time. Douglas did, however, participate in the convention that saw J.S. Woodsworth elected as the new party's leader.

    In 1934 Douglas completed his Master's degree in sociology from McMaster University, and began to seriously considering moving to Chicago to work on a Ph.D. He was persuaded, reluctantly, to run in the Saskatchewan election of that year as a Farmer-Labour candidate. He ran a dull campaign, however, and finished a distant third. Douglas seemed happy to let that the end of it, but when a member of the higher-ups in the Baptist Church specifically forbade him from running again, he angrily threw down the gauntlet once again, running as a CCF candidate in the 1935 federal election. The tactics Douglas used in the ensuing election would have made Jean Chrétien proud. Both Douglas and the Liberal incumbent, Ed Young, knew that the Social Credit party would drain the protest vote away from the CCF and possibly allow the Liberals to get up the middle. What followed was a scramble between the Liberals and CCF to stack the CCF with a phoney candidate. The Liberals won the scramble, as Young paid a Liberal supporter $2000 to fill the Socred candidacy. Douglas, however, one-upped his opponent by securing an endorsement from William Aberhart, the Social Credit Premier of Alberta. The CCF brass was furious that Douglas had collaborated with an enemy party, especially such a conservative one, but Douglas won the seat, becoming one of only 8 CCF members to win election in 1935.

    Across the floor of the House of Commons, Douglas faced the wiliest politician in Canadian history, William Lyon Mackenzie King. As a rookie MP, Douglas became an outspoken critic of the government's policoies, especially with regards to agriculture, social welfare and, increasingly, foreign policy. With remarkable prophesy, Douglas blasted the government's inaction over Italy's invasion of Ethiopia, arguing (correctly) that doing nothing would only precipitate a new crisis. It is true that Woodsworth made the same argument but, quite frankly, given Woodsworth's eventual opposition to Canadian participation in WWII, his opinion was hypocritical. Woodsworth would have had Canada lead the charge for sanctions against Italy and then, had those sanctions provoked war, would have expected that Canada wouldn't participate in the ensuing conflict. Douglas, however, bore no such delusions. He quickly established a reputation as a sharp-tongued orator, and it wasn't long before Mackenzie King, in true fashion, began courting Douglas to cross the floor and join the Liberals. Douglas, however, resisted King's overtures.

    When Great Britain declared war on Germany in September of 1939, the CCF faced a crisis of whether or not to support Canada's involvement. It was quite clear that Mackenzie King had every intention of supporting Britain, while Woodsworth and Coldwell still harboured strong pacifist leanings and favoured neutrality for Canada. Douglas argued against Woodsworth and Coldwell, stating that Canada must fight to stop Nazism and Fascism. Douglas won over the CCF caucus to his point of view and Woodsworth, who still refused to yield to support the war, was removed as leader. M.J. Coldwell became the new leader, reluctantly agreeing to support Canada's participation. Six days later King George VI issued Canada's declaration of war against the German Reich and Douglas raced home to Saskatchewan to enlist with the South Saskatchewan Regiment. He was made an officer, quickly rose to the rank of captain, and would spend his war involvement primarily in training new recruits. Douglas' main battle would be in Ottawa where, in 1940, he was re-elected with a 2000 vote margin.

    After the ignominious defeat of Canadian forces at Hong Kong in 1941, Douglas made national headlines for his attack on the government's role in the disaster. His speech on the subject was so eloquent that the right-wing publication the Globe and Mail printed the entire text. In 1942 Douglas assumed the leadership of the Co-operative Commonwealth Federation of Saskatchewan, putting himself in the rather bizarre position of being a provincial party leader while simultaneously holding a seat in the House of Commons - and all the while, he was still a captain with the Canadian armed forces. The Liberal premier of Saskatchewan, William J. Patterson, fled from the electorate, delaying the election a full year past his mandate until 1944 (the Liberals had last won election in 1938). All the while, Douglas and his CCF broadened their appeal, promoting the platform planks of health care and financial protection for farmers. The business community, the federal government, and the nationwide media branded the CCF as communists and traitors in a vitriolic propaganda campaign, but the people of Saskatchewan were too smart - and perhaps too desperate - to fall for it. Douglas destroyed Patterson, first in a radio-broadcasted debate, and then at the polls. Douglas resigned his seat in the House of Commons to contest the 1944 Saskatchewan election, in which the CCF won a large majority and the Liberals were reduced to but 5 seats. Saskatchewan had elected the first openly socialist government in North America, and Douglas was now its premier.

    Douglas would become the undisputed political master of Saskatchewan, winning 5 consecutive majority governments and governing for 17 years. An "island of socialism in an ocean of capitalism," the CCF government of Saskatchewan pioneered programs and legislation that all of Canada would eventually adopt. Douglas moved quickly to pass the Farm Security Act, which forbade banks from foreclosing on farmers during poor growing seasons. It wasn't clear whether Douglas had overstretched his constitutional power in enacting the legislation, but he managed to stare down a disallowance threat from the federal government. He took steps to improve health care and education, offering free medical service at hospitals and free textbooks in schools. He created a Crown Corporation for automobile insurance, the first of its kind in the entire world. He introduced the most progressive labour code in the country, becoming the first of many governments to bestow the right of automatic dues checkoff, and invited government workers to unionize. Another labour gave Saskatchewan workers 2 weeks paid holiday, another law that would be emulated by all other provinces. Douglas passed the Saskatchewan Bill of Rights, the first such legislation passed in the Canadian Confederation, and over a decade ahead of the federal government. He created the country's first small claims court (all provinces now have them). He founded the Saskatchewan Arts Board, another national first, which Liberal Prime Minister Louis St. Laurent would copy at the federal level in the mid 50s. Though Douglas was unfortunately mostly silent over the issue of Japanese internment while a member of parliament, his government invited Japanese Canadians to reside in Saskatchewan - the only government to do so. Within 2 years a province-wide electrical grid was built to bring electricity to everyone, and thousands of miles of road were paved. Moreover, during the period of 1948 to 1960, Saskatchewan possessed the highest rate of economic growth in the country. To top it all off, Douglas did these things while still managing to pay down Saskatchewan's hefty debt, acrued by the Liberals. All the while, Douglas slowly squirreled away money for what would be his greatest achievement - universal health care. Douglas won an election on the issue in 1960, managed to beat down a furious doctor's strike in 1961 and, with a little financial help from Prime Minister John Diefenbaker, implemented medicare. "If we can do this," Douglas predicted in 1958, "then I would like to hazard the prophesy that by 1970 almost every other provinces in Canada will have followed our lead." He was right.

    Still, Douglas' career was far from finished. In 1961 he resigned as Saskatchewan's premier to become the first leader of the freshly-minted New Democratic Party, a coalition between the CCF and organized labour at the federal level. Despite Douglas' tremendous success in Saskatchewan, national politics did not come easy for the leader and his fledgling party. In the election of 1962, the NDP won only 17 seats, and Douglas himself was defeated in Regina. The defeat shocked Douglas and took the wind out of his sails somewhat, but soon grabbed a seat in a by-election in Burnaby, British Columbia. Though the NDP had not done fabulously in the election, they still held the balance of power in a fractured parliament. John Diefenbaker still clung to power with a deeply lobotmized minority caucus, and his government soon began to self-destruct over defense issues. Douglas collaborated with Liberal leader Lester Pearson to finish off Diefenbaker's collapsing government once and for all. The decision seems a bit odd, considering that Dief had helped Douglas both with medicare and with building a dam in southern Saskatchewan, and "the Chief" also opposed allowing American nukes on Canadian soil, a position one assumes with which Douglas would have agreed. Either way, the Tories went down in the House of Commons, and then at the polls in 1963.

    The Tory government was replaced a Liberal one under Lester Pearson, which lacked both a parliamentary majority and much in the way of backbone. Douglas still held the balance of power, and the Liberals would prove pliable to New Democratic demands. Pearson himself was practically terrorized by Diefenbaker's ferocious opposition, and was likely quite happy to accept NDP co-operation for a decent price. That price was increased social spending, new programs, and economic nationalism, a direction in which left-leaning Liberals like Walter Gordon were already headed anyway. First came the Canada Pension Plan, which bestowed full government pensions on all senior citizens, which took Pearson quite a bit of skill to pull off. Douglas' support and encouragement got it through parliament. Douglas also supported Pearson against Diefenbaker in the ferocious flag debate, which culminated in giving Canada its current flag. In many ways though Douglas' best ally was Diefenbaker who, in the election of 1965, put up a miraculous fight and prevented the Liberals from gaining a majority ; the NDP still held the balance of power. Next came universal health care. Douglas supplied the idea and the proof that it could work. Pearson provided the political will. And the new Minister of Justice and Attorney-General, Pierre Elliott Trudeau, provided the toughness to bully the provinces into accepting the program. In 1967 all of Canada was given universal health care. Douglas had accomplished his dream of free medical service throughout the country.

    Of course, there was still more to do, other things to be improved, and Douglas stayed on in parliament as NDP leader. Unfortunately for Douglas, though, in 1968 the Liberal Party of Canada went and grew a backbone, by the name of Pierre Trudeau. Douglas may have been experienced, funny, and charming, but he was no match for the wordly, progressive, 15-years-younger Trudeau. Trudeau's appeal to the young and progressive stands on social issues stole Douglas' base of support right out from under him. In 1968 not only did the NDP lose the balance of power as the Liberals gained a majority, but Douglas himself was unseated. He stood for a election in a Vancouver by-election, and the Liberals - in a move that is today, and would then have been, considered a major act of discourtesy - decided to run against him. Apparently trying to destroy Douglas' political career once and for all, the Liberals poured resources into the by-election. When Douglas eventually triumphed, his victory was all the more heroic, and the Liberals' defeat all the more embarrassing. That's why you don't run candidates against party leaders in by-elections, stupid.

    With Trudeau firmly in power, the NDP yearned for a new leader, and Douglas, now 65, wasn't too upset about the idea of stepping down. Douglas eventually resigned as leader of the New Democratic Party in 1971, to be succeeded by first David Lewis, and then the more well-known Edward Broadbent. Douglas, however, remained in parliament as the party's chief energy critic until 1979, winning re-election in 1972 and 74. From 1972 to 74 the New Democrats again held the balance of power in parliament, and Douglas was crucial in cojoling the Liberals to create Petro-Canada. Douglas finally retired from politics in 1979, but returned in 1983 for one last moment of glory; the NDP, divided internally, seemed to be on the point of collapse and Douglas, decrepit from age and disease, delivered a speech at the national convention so powerful that most today believe that it saved the party. The next year he was diagnosed with inoperable cancer and, on the 24 of February, 1986, died in Ottawa.

    The most successful of all Canada's socialist politicians, Douglas' political record is impressive by any standard; an elected official for 44 years; Member of Parliament for 26 years; Premier of Saskatchewan for 17 years; and a national party leader for 10 years. Though he never attained the high office of Prime Minister, Tommy Douglas transformed Canada as much as any PM. In Saskatchewan, Douglas pioneered countless forward thinking laws that were eventually adopted by all of Canada's provinces. He brought universal medicare, first to Saskatchewan and then, while in Ottawa in the 60s, to the whole country. The degree to which the Canada of today was shaped by Tommy Douglas should not be underestimated. Also, you have heard of Tommy Douglas' grandson, Kiefer Sutherland.
    Sunday, April 20th, 2003
    11:47 pm
    A few quotes.
    "I am obliged to admit that 1000 days is not enough."
    Defeated Quebec Premier Bernard Landry concedes the setback inflicted upon the Quebec sovereignty movement by the Liberal victory.

    "Our paradigm now seems to be: something terrible happened to us on September 11, and that gives us the right to interpret all future events in a way that everyone else in the world must agree with us. And if they don't, they can go straight to hell."
    Former US President Bill Clinton slams American international vigilantism.

    "When you want to appear as though you're not an imperialist nation, Britain and Spain are the people you want on your side."
    Comedian Bill Maher pokes sardonically at America's allies.

    Go here: http://www.assembly.pe.ca/members/index.php
    Notice anything funny? One of these things is not like the other...
    Tuesday, April 15th, 2003
    12:12 am
    Charest defeats Landry.
    Final results of the Quebec election:

    Liberal Party of Quebec: 76
    Parti Quebecois: 45
    Action Democratique du Quebec: 4

    Jean Charest and the Liberal Party of Quebec have formed a majority government. They took 45% of the popular vote and 60% of the seats (ah...SMP) for a very impressive 13 seat majority. A lot of Ontario observers are forecasting that this defeat will permanently cripple the separatist movement; this morning, for example, the Toronto Star brayed that a Charest victory would set the cause of separatism back 30 years, while CTV's political bureau chief Craig Oliver pontificated that the separatists had missed their chance forever. I'm not quite so optimistic, and I would advise fellow Ontarians and others throughout the country against such naivete. Forty-five seats is hardly a decimation - in 5 years time, the PQ will still be a force with which to be reckoned. The most dangerous thing to do would be to proclaim that separatism is dead, declare the problem solved, and go about our way. Now that a dedicated federalist is in power in Quebec, we must use this opportunity to address Quebec's problems in confederation in good faith. I rather expect that Paul Martin will do just that. The defeat of the Parti Quebecois leaves the Bloc Quebecois vulnerable for the federal Liberals, and the potential of gains being made in Quebec will not be lost on Martin. (Several BQ MPs have said that they would resign if the PQ went down)

    I'm extremely happy about this election because not only did it see the temporary defeat of separatism, but also my other most hated ideology, neo-conservatism. I derived much satisfaction from the ADQ's embarrassingly poor performance, finishing with 1 less seat than they had previously. To think all these twits on Bay Street had lavished him with praise and affection, loudly announcing that Mario Dumont was the next premier who would carry Quebec into a new glorious, right-wing age. "Enter Stage Right" read the cover of this week's Report of Business magazine, with Dumont's shining young face on it. Perhaps they were looking forward to a return to the days of Maurice Duplessis when Quebec was essentially a third-world capitalist playground. Unfortunately, popularity among Toronto businessmen doesn't mean much in Quebec, as this election demonstrated. Dumont also received some advice from John Turner before the election, which probably also contributed to his downfall.

    Also, both the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Ottawa Senators won their hockey games tonight. It's been a good evening.

    Current Mood: pleased
    Monday, April 14th, 2003
    7:26 am
    Uh oh, look out.
    According to this article (http://thestar.com/NASApp/cs/ContentServer?pagename=thestar/Layout/Article_Type1&c=Article&cid=1035780461387&call_pageid=968332188774) the Liberal Party of Ontario is ahead of the Ontario Tories in the polls by 53% to 34%. Holy shit. McGuinty could take damn near every seat with those numbers. So long, Ernie Eves.
    12:00 am
    Some parliamentary trivia.
    I'm trying to compile a list of the longest serving members of parliament. So far this is what I have:

    1. Wilfrid Laurier: 44 years (1874-1919)
    2. John Graham Haggart: 40 years (1874-1913)
    3. John Diefenbaker: 39 years (1940-1979)
    4. Herb Gray: 39 years (1962-2002)
    5. Stanley Knowles: 38 years (1942-58, 1962-84)

    I'm not sure of much beyond this. Here's a list of the longest serving members currently.

    1. Jean Chrétien: 36 years (1863-86, 1990-)
    2. Charles Caccia: 35 years (1968-)
    3. Lorne Nystrom: 31 years (1968-1993, 1997-)
    4. Svend Robinson: 24 years (1979-)
    5. Bill Blaikie: 24 years (1979-)
    Sunday, April 13th, 2003
    10:45 pm
    An update.
    In case you're wondering, the leadership race of the Progressive-Conservative Party is almost over. According to pcparty.ca, these are the delegate selection statistics thus far:

    Andre Bachand (Member of Parliament for Richmond-Athabaska): 77
    Scott Brison (Member of Parliament for Kings-Hants) 243
    Craig Chandler (Loud-mouth social-conservative): 7
    Heward Grafftey (Has-been former cabinet minister): 8
    Peter MacKay (Member of Parliament for Pictou-Antigonish-Guysborough): 1035
    David Orchard (Farmer): 657
    Jim Prentice (Lawyer): 345
    Undeclared: 35

    This means that MacKay has about 42% of the vote so far. When the votes for the party establishment come in, it ought to be enough to push MacKay to a first-ballot victory. So much for the much ballyhooed competition in the Tory party. They're going to choose that that right-wing, law-and-order dullard MacKay as their leader. The Tories deserve obliteration, and that's just what they'll get. If Joe Clark could only win 14 seats, I'll enjoy seeing what MacKay can do. I've never seen a political party before that had no idea of what it stood for and yet considered itself so amazing. I have to laugh when I hear Tories speak of their "glorious history". Oh please. Perhaps if you think getting clobbered mercilessly by the Liberals is glorious... Polls have shown that over 50% of Tory supporters would consider voting Liberal if Paul Martin becomes PM. I suspect they won't survive the next election. Good riddance to bad rubbish.

    More good news: Quebec votes tomorrow, and polls seem to indicate a Liberal victory. The most recent poll I checked had the Liberals leading the Parti Quebecois by 44% to 39%, with the Action Democratique trailing with a pathetic 14%. It seems like Jean Charest actually pulled it off. It was after the leaders' debate that all of a sudden the Liberals started surging in the polls. I hope, I hope, I hope that the Liberals win. I'll take great pleasure for the PQ defeat; and I'll also take a decent amount of satisfaction in seeing the right-wing ADQ perform badly. Keep your fingers crossed for a Liberal victory tomorrow! (it'll be about the first time I've ever been pleased at an election result that I can remember)

    To close, a neat poem by Emily Dickinson:

    MY life closed twice before its close;
    It yet remains to see
    If Immortality unveil
    A third event to me,

    So huge, so hopeless to conceive,
    As these that twice befell.
    Parting is all we know of heaven,
    And all we need of hell.

    Current Mood: sucky
    Friday, April 11th, 2003
    8:39 am
    Coolest. Poem. Ever.
    Considering I just wrote an damn 8 page essay on it, it's amazing I still like this poem so much.

    The Love Song of J. Alfred Prufrock by T.S. Eliot

    S’io credesse che mia risposta fosse
    A persona che mai tornasse al mondo,
    Questa fiamma staria senza piu scosse.
    Ma perciocche giammai di questo fondo
    Non torno vivo alcun, s’i’odo il vero,
    Senza tema d’infamia ti rispondo.



    LET us go then, you and I,
    When the evening is spread out against the sky
    Like a patient etherised upon a table;
    Let us go, through certain half-deserted streets,
    The muttering retreats
    Of restless nights in one-night cheap hotels
    And sawdust restaurants with oyster-shells:
    Streets that follow like a tedious argument
    Of insidious intent
    To lead you to an overwhelming question …
    Oh, do not ask, “What is it?”
    Let us go and make our visit.

    In the room the women come and go
    Talking of Michelangelo.

    The yellow fog that rubs its back upon the window-panes,
    The yellow smoke that rubs its muzzle on the window-panes
    Licked its tongue into the corners of the evening,
    Lingered upon the pools that stand in drains,
    Let fall upon its back the soot that falls from chimneys,
    Slipped by the terrace, made a sudden leap,
    And seeing that it was a soft October night,
    Curled once about the house, and fell asleep.

    And indeed there will be time
    For the yellow smoke that slides along the street,
    Rubbing its back upon the window-panes;
    There will be time, there will be time
    To prepare a face to meet the faces that you meet;
    There will be time to murder and create,
    And time for all the works and days of hands
    That lift and drop a question on your plate;
    Time for you and time for me,
    And time yet for a hundred indecisions,
    And for a hundred visions and revisions,
    Before the taking of a toast and tea.

    In the room the women come and go
    Talking of Michelangelo.

    And indeed there will be time
    To wonder, “Do I dare?” and, “Do I dare?”
    Time to turn back and descend the stair,
    With a bald spot in the middle of my hair—
    [They will say: “How his hair is growing thin!”]
    My morning coat, my collar mounting firmly to the chin,
    My necktie rich and modest, but asserted by a simple pin—
    [They will say: “But how his arms and legs are thin!”]
    Do I dare
    Disturb the universe?
    In a minute there is time
    For decisions and revisions which a minute will reverse.

    For I have known them all already, known them all:—
    Have known the evenings, mornings, afternoons,
    I have measured out my life with coffee spoons;
    I know the voices dying with a dying fall
    Beneath the music from a farther room.
    So how should I presume?

    And I have known the eyes already, known them all—
    The eyes that fix you in a formulated phrase,
    And when I am formulated, sprawling on a pin,
    When I am pinned and wriggling on the wall,
    Then how should I begin
    To spit out all the butt-ends of my days and ways?
    And how should I presume?

    And I have known the arms already, known them all—
    Arms that are braceleted and white and bare
    [But in the lamplight, downed with light brown hair!]
    It is perfume from a dress
    That makes me so digress?
    Arms that lie along a table, or wrap about a shawl.
    And should I then presume?
    And how should I begin?
    . . . . .
    Shall I say, I have gone at dusk through narrow streets
    And watched the smoke that rises from the pipes
    Of lonely men in shirt-sleeves, leaning out of windows?…

    I should have been a pair of ragged claws
    Scuttling across the floors of silent seas.
    . . . . .
    And the afternoon, the evening, sleeps so peacefully!
    Smoothed by long fingers,
    Asleep … tired … or it malingers,
    Stretched on the floor, here beside you and me.
    Should I, after tea and cakes and ices,
    Have the strength to force the moment to its crisis?
    But though I have wept and fasted, wept and prayed,
    Though I have seen my head [grown slightly bald] brought in upon a platter,
    I am no prophet—and here’s no great matter;
    I have seen the moment of my greatness flicker,
    And I have seen the eternal Footman hold my coat, and snicker,
    And in short, I was afraid.

    And would it have been worth it, after all,
    After the cups, the marmalade, the tea,
    Among the porcelain, among some talk of you and me,
    Would it have been worth while,
    To have bitten off the matter with a smile,
    To have squeezed the universe into a ball
    To roll it toward some overwhelming question,
    To say: “I am Lazarus, come from the dead,
    Come back to tell you all, I shall tell you all”—
    If one, settling a pillow by her head,
    Should say: “That is not what I meant at all.
    That is not it, at all.”

    And would it have been worth it, after all,
    Would it have been worth while,
    After the sunsets and the dooryards and the sprinkled streets,
    After the novels, after the teacups, after the skirts that trail along the floor—
    And this, and so much more?—
    It is impossible to say just what I mean!
    But as if a magic lantern threw the nerves in patterns on a screen:
    Would it have been worth while
    If one, settling a pillow or throwing off a shawl,
    And turning toward the window, should say:
    “That is not it at all,
    That is not what I meant, at all.”
    . . . . .
    No! I am not Prince Hamlet, nor was meant to be;
    Am an attendant lord, one that will do
    To swell a progress, start a scene or two,
    Advise the prince; no doubt, an easy tool,
    Deferential, glad to be of use,
    Politic, cautious, and meticulous;
    Full of high sentence, but a bit obtuse;
    At times, indeed, almost ridiculous—
    Almost, at times, the Fool.

    I grow old … I grow old …
    I shall wear the bottoms of my trousers rolled.

    Shall I part my hair behind? Do I dare to eat a peach?
    I shall wear white flannel trousers, and walk upon the beach.
    I have heard the mermaids singing, each to each.

    I do not think that they will sing to me.

    I have seen them riding seaward on the waves
    Combing the white hair of the waves blown back
    When the wind blows the water white and black.

    We have lingered in the chambers of the sea
    By sea-girls wreathed with seaweed red and brown
    Till human voices wake us, and we drown.

    Current Mood: tired
    Monday, March 31st, 2003
    7:10 pm
    McGuinty-Schlönger makes sweeping changes*.
    Dalton McGuinty-Schlönger, the new Führer of Öntärïö Third Reich, today proclaimed a series of sweeping changes. "Ya, from now on, Canada's national anthem will be Die RingSchleife by Wagner...all nine hours," McGuinty-Schlönger told reporters. McGuinty-Schlönger dismissed charges by critics that he does not possess the constitutional power to change the Canadian national anthem. McGuinty-Schönger also issued a formal policy directive of seeking "liebensraum" from Mantioba, in which he was careful to emphasize the genetic inferiority of Manitobans. When asked whether he thought Quebec would agree to such a deal, McGuinty-Schlönger replied, "Ya, the French did not stop me in France, and they will not stop me in Quebec." McGuinty-Schlönger refused to elaborate on what he meant by "me." Also, McGuinty-Schlönger restored to Kitchener its old name, Berlin. Toronto has also been renamed Berlin.

    *may not actually have happened.

    Current Mood: satisfied
    Sunday, March 30th, 2003
    1:10 pm
    Dalton McGuinty-Schlönger Wins election, proclaims Ontario as Fourth Reich*
    In what came as a surprise to many, following the Ontario election, the new premier, Dalton McGuinty, revealed that he is actually Dalton McGuinty-Schlönger, a fervent German nationalist. Shortly after being sworn in as Ontario's Premier, McGuinty-Schlönger renamed Ontario to "Öntäriö Fourth Reich." More surprises came as McGuinty-Schlönger named his cabinet. "Ya, as my deputy premier, I hereby name Ernie Adolf Eves...Hitler," McGuinty-Schlönger told a cheering audience of German-speakers dressed in lederhosen. McGuinty-Schlönger vowed to dedicate his first term in office to preparing for the inevitable struggle of the races, and is considering re-militarizing the Ottawa Valley, which he calls "the Rhineland." Some observers say that McGuinty-Schlönger yearns to invade Manitoba, but the federal government is confident that he can be mollified with lucrative grants and small annexations. More on this story as it develops.

    *May not actually have happened

    Current Mood: Häppy
    Tuesday, March 25th, 2003
    8:44 am
    So much for King Ralph.
    Many of us anti-war types were quite angry last week when Canada's senior provincial statesman, Alberta Premier Ralph Klein, sent a lengthy and effusive letter to the US Ambassador, Paul Celucci, extoling the virtues of the American invasion. Prime Minister Jean Chretien sternly rebuked Klein, saying that the decision to go to war is the exclusive territory of the federal government, and more or less telling Klein that he has every right to shut the hell up. Klein seemed ready to go another round of fighting with the federal government as he prepared a motion for the Alberta legislature to endorse the war; it has, however, failed. After a lengthy caucus debate Klein's motion was withdrawn, and he instead read a statement to the legislature with which even I could agree: that Alberta respects the federal government's right to decide upon war or peace, accepts the federal government's decision, and wishes the Americans, Brits, and Aussies well. Well, well, well, it looks like even King Ralph couldn't carry a pro-war motion in Canada. Meanwhile in Ottawa, the House of Commons has defeated 2 Canadian Alliance motions calling upon Canada to join the war.

    Some might be interested to know that Wayne Gretzsky says he supports Bush's decision to go to war. He also says he supports Chretien's decision not to go to war. This, my friends, is why sports figures shouldn't wade in on political issues.

    Current Mood: awake
    Monday, March 24th, 2003
    7:05 pm
    ARGH!


    Ontario...government...making me...angier and angier....

    This bullshit budget alone had pretty much driven me into the Liberal camp. Then today Eves flip-flopped on school vouchers, announcing a totally stupid idea to give lovely cash incentives to people who enrol their darling children in private schools. Jesus fucking Christ! It's bad enough to have a two-tier education system in the first place, but why the hell should the taxpayer have to subsidize people in a private school? Isn't that the point - private i.e. pay for it your own damn self! It all sounds like a lovely way to give rich people a nice easy ride on the backs of everyone else. Moreover, every dollar given on these vouchers is a dollar paid to debilitate the public system. If wealthy people want to feel better than everyone by sending their kids to a private school that's one thing, but the rest of us shouldn't have to pay so that they can do it.

    All of a sudden, Dalton McGuinty is looking better and better...

    Current Mood: pissed off
    Sunday, March 23rd, 2003
    1:19 pm
    Jesus.
    After the allies captured Umm Qasar, I figured it would be an easy and sweeping victory. I thought, perhaps, that these helicopter crashes would be isolated incidents. Now I'm reading in the paper about Anglo-American setbacks; 10 US soldiers reportedly missing; others captured by the Iraqis; a British fighter jet shot down by a US missile (ugh...); and supposedly "significant casualties" suffered in taking the southern Iraqi town of Nassiriya. Now Bush is saying that victory won't be as quick as thought; perhaps the Americans weren't expecting the Iraqis to actually fight back. An American commentator explained well the dilemma of taking Baghdad: "If Baghdad doesn't surrender with bombing alone, then the US either has to invade it, which means casualties, or surround and seige it, which means lots of pictures of Iraqi women and children starving to death." I also opened the newspaper this morning to see a three year old girl with horrible burns across her face. All this reminds one once again of the horrors of war. I'm very surprised that the Anglo-American forces are having this much difficulty.

    Current Mood: shocked and awed
    Saturday, March 22nd, 2003
    4:57 pm
    Haiku for peace.
    Politics
    Protested last night
    Exaggerated slogans
    But fun anyway

    I've now protested twice. I protested on Thursday, and I protested today in a rally that numbered 80 000. It was awesome on so many levels; it was artistic, really. People from 6 to 60, some hardcore lefties, most just regular people, of all races and faiths, all stating firmly their commitment to peace. The Canadian government's decision to remain out of the war has strengthened the protests; they are now embued with a sense of Canadian nationalism, as protest leaders shout "Canada has said no to this war!" with thunderous applause. Based on what polls you read, 69% or 71% of Canadians agree with the government's decision to stay out of this war. Heh, Jiam Gameshi was there, and Olivia Chow was like a foot away from me. I got to see Jack Layton's wife close up.

    Just so you know, according to the latest poll by Leger Marketing, the Liberal Party of Quebec has jumped out in front of the Parti Quebecois, 41% to 38%. Wow; if Charest actually pulls this off, he'll be a national hero.

    Current Mood: tired
    Friday, March 21st, 2003
    2:53 pm
    Harper vs. Hutchison
    Yesterday the Canadian House of Commons, in a motion proposed by the Bloc Quebecois, debated whether or not to join the war on Iraq. The final vote was 153 to 50 against participation. The following is Stephen Harper's speech to the House during this debate, and an email I wrote to him in reply to it.

    Mr. Speaker, I stand today to speak to a matter of the gravest importance that Parliament can address: the matter of war and specifically the resumption of war against the regime of Saddam Hussein.

    We appreciate that our colleagues in the Bloc Quebecois have brought this motion forward today. It is appropriate for two reasons. The first is that it is not from the government, which has consistently acted without vision and values during this crisis, and even today I understand resists a timely vote on these matters.

    It is also fitting that this historic motion, which calls on us to abandon our closest friends and allies at this critical time, comes from the Bloc Quebecois, a party that does have values and visions but whose values are different than the traditions that built this country and whose vision is a country where our country as we know it would not continue to exist.

    Let us review how we came to this crossroads internationally. In 1991, after the invasion of Kuwait, the world judged the Iraqi regime to be a dangerous aggressor. In the interests of world peace and regional security, the community of nations expelled Iraq from Kuwait; required Iraq to surrender its offensive arsenal, its chemical and biological weapons; and to abandon its nuclear weapons program. Iraq agreed to comply with these demands as an enormous and victorious force of allied troops and personnel, not just American and British, but Canadians as well stood ready to invade.

    We have waited 12 years for Saddam Hussein to give action to those commitments. With the threat of renewed action from the U.S., the U.K. and others, on November 8, 2002, the United Nations Security Council passed resolution 1441. It was the 17th Security Council resolution regarding the threat Iraq posed to international peace and security. The resolution, which was adopted unanimously, gave Iraq a final opportunity to demonstrate immediate compliance with its disarmament obligations and it promised serious consequences otherwise.

    Over the last four months we have seen no evidence to suggest that Saddam Hussein will willingly comply with resolution 1441.

    Iraq's continued defiance of the community of nations presents a challenge which must be addressed. It is inherently dangerous to allow a country such as Iraq to retain weapons of mass destruction, particularly in light of its past aggressive behaviour. If the world community fails to disarm Iraq we fear that other rogue states will be encouraged to believe that they too can have these most deadly of weapons to systematically defy international resolutions and that the world will do nothing to stop them. As the possession of weapons of mass destruction spreads, the danger of such weapons coming into the hands of terrorist groups will multiply, particularly given in this case the shameless association of Iraq with rogue non-state organizations.

    That is the ultimate nightmare which the world must take decisive and effective steps to prevent. Possession of chemical, biological or nuclear weapons by terrorists would constitute a direct, undeniable and lethal threat to the world, including to Canada and its people. As we learned, or should have learned on September 11, having no malice toward these groups will not absolve the citizens of any country from the hatred they direct toward us and toward our civilization.

    The principal objective is the disarmament of Iraq but it has now become apparent that that objective is inseparable from the removal of Saddam Hussein's regime. Earlier this week President Bush requested the support of his key allies in the participation of a coalition of nations who would be prepared to enforce Security Council resolutions by all necessary means. That same day, the allies delivered an ultimatum to the Iraqi leadership: Saddam Hussein and his sons must leave Iraq within 48 hours or face military conflict.

    These allies did not seek a military conflict today any more than they sought it 12 years ago. The world has tried other means for years, but to no avail. We cannot walk away from the threat that Iraq's continued possession of weapons of mass destruction constitutes to its region and to the wider world.

    In the final analysis, disarming Iraq is necessary for the long term security of the world, to the collective interests of our historic allies and therefore, manifestly, it is in the national interest of this country.

    I want to briefly address some of the counter-arguments to this position in support of the coalition of the willing led by President Bush and Prime Minister Blair.

    First, this coalition lacks the legal authority to act. Existing United Nations Security Council resolutions have long provided for the use of force to disarm Iraq and restore international peace and security to the area. Security Council resolution 678 adopted in 1990 authorized the use of all necessary means, not only to implement resolution 660 demanding Iraqi withdrawal from Kuwait, but also to implement all subsequent relevant resolutions and to restore international peace and security to the area.

    Resolution 687, which provided the ceasefire terms for Iraq in 1991, a ceasefire not an armistice, affirmed resolution 678. Resolution 1441 itself confirmed that Iraq has been and remains in material breach of its obligations, a point on which there is unanimous international agreement.

    Iraq's past and continuing breaches of the ceasefire obligations now negate the basis for the formal ceasefire. Iraq has, by its conduct, demonstrated that it did not and does not accept the terms of the ceasefire. Consequently, authorization for the use of force in Security Council resolution 678 has been reactivated.

    I would point out that this view of international law is not new. In fact, our own Canadian deployment of troops to the gulf in 1998 in Operation Desert Fox, strongly supported at the time by the current Prime Minister, was undertaken on the same legal basis. The Clinton administration clearly understood and argued, as the Bush administration does now, that existing Security Council resolutions clearly allow for the use of military force.

    Another objection is that we need only more time, that the inspection process is working and that diplomacy should be given another chance. Let me address this. The inspections process has been a failure. It has not resulted in disarmament. However, more important, the inspections process is not intended to force or compel disarmament. It is only intended to monitor compliance. To the extent that Saddam Hussein has complied, it has only been through the constant threat of force. Force has been the only language that Saddam Hussein's regime has ever understood. Yet even the threat of force has only convinced Saddam Hussein to engage reluctantly in the token, piecemeal destruction of weapons, and only the most reluctant revelations of the existence of weapons and weapons programs.

    Even with over 200,000 coalition troops massed at his borders, he quibbles about how interviews are to be conducted with his scientists and how many of the reconnaissance aircraft supporting the inspectors can fly at one time. He simply plays a game of cat and mouse, and he will play it indefinitely. After 12 years he does not believe that the international community has the will to act. He clearly believes that ongoing diplomacy will ultimately be hijacked by those who simply want to delay and who ultimately want inaction.

    In recent months this party, the Canadian Alliance, has been strongly supportive of these diplomatic efforts. However it is clear now that in some cases Saddam Hussein has guessed right. For example, Jacques Chirac and the Gaullists of France have once again been preoccupied more with agendas targeted on the Anglo-American word than on the regime of Saddam Hussein. In other cases, however, Saddam Hussein has clearly made an error in judgment, a final misjudgement. He underestimated our American and British allies and their many friends around the world.

    That leads to a final criticism, that the coalition is somehow inadequate because it is not unanimous and because it is led by the United States of America. Ironically, as even our Liberal government has acknowledge, America, with Britain in particular, has given strong leadership to the world on the issue of Iraq. What has been accomplished in recent months has only been accomplished solely because of the American-British coalition and their allies and their determination to act. Indeed, without strong leadership of leading powers, usually the U.S.A., the failures of the United Nations are too numerous and too grisly to even mention.

    We in the Canadian Alliance support the American position today on this issue because we share their concerns and their worries about the future of the world if Iraq is left unattended. Alliances are a two way process. Where we are in agreement we should not leave it to the United States to do all the heavy lifting just because it is the world's only superpower. To do so I believe will inevitably undermine one of the most important relationships that we have. In an increasingly globalized and borderless world, the relationship between Canada and the United States is essential to our prosperity, to our democracy and to our future.

    The coalition assembled by the United States and the United Kingdom is now ready to act. It is now acting. It will bring this long run conflict to an end once and for all. It will bring to an end the regime of Saddam Hussein and the militarism, brutality and aggression that are the foundations of his rule. Since Saddam Hussein came to power in 1979 more than one million have died as a consequence. They have died through killing and torture as individual opponents, real and imagined. They have died from acts of civil war and mass genocide in the north and south of the country. They have died in invasions launched against his neighbours. Now his final bloody chapter is being read. As it is being written make no mistake, this party will not be with Saddam Hussein. We will not be neutral. We will be with our allies and our friends, not militarily, but in spirit we will be with them in America and in Britain for a short and successful conflict and for the liberation of the people of Iraq.

    We will not be with our government. For this government, in taking the position it has taken, has betrayed Canada's history and its values. Reading only the polls and indulging in juvenile and insecure anti-Americanism, the government has, for the first time in our history, left us outside our British and American allies in their time of need. It has done worse. It has left us standing for nothing, no realistic alternative, no point of principle and no vision of the future. It has left us standing with no one. Our government is not part of the multilateral coalition in support of this action and it has not been part of any coalition opposing it; just alone, playing irrelevant and contradictory games on both sides of the fence to the point where we go so far as to leave military personnel in the region without the access support and moral support of the government that sent them there.

    This is not an act of independence. In fact, as we find ourselves isolated from our allies, we find ourselves under the government more dependent on them than ever before, economically, culturally and of course militarily.

    My great fear: A country that does not embrace its own friends and allies in a dangerous world but thinks it can use them and reject them at will. Such a country will in time endanger its own existence. However to have the future once again of a great country, we must do more than stand with our friends in the United States. We must rediscover our own values. We must remember that this country was forged in large part by war, terrible war, but not because it was terrible and not because it was easy, but because at the time it was right.

    In the great wars of the last century against authoritarianism, against fascism, against communism, Canada did not merely stand with the Americans, we more often than not led the way. We did so for freedom; we did so for democracy; we did so for the values of civilization itself, values which continue to be embodied in our allies and their leaders and are represented in their polar offices, embodied and personified by Saddam Hussein and the perpetrators of 9-11.

    So we will not merely vote against this motion today, we will tell the Americans and we will tell the British we are with you.

    We will of course pray for the innocent people of Iraq and hope that they may have a better future than the one they have had under this tyrannical regime and we will wish that they may have a future where they have the democratic freedoms that we enjoy, that every man and every woman, especially at this time in the Islamic world, is entitled to in every part of this earth.

    We will stand, and I believe most Canadians will quietly stand with us, for these higher values which shaped our past and which we will need in an uncertain future.

    Mr. Speaker, in the days that follow, may God guide the actions of the President of the United States and the American people; may God save the Queen, her prime minister and all her subjects; and may God continue to bless Canada.
    -Stephen Harper, Honourable Leader of the Opposition

    Dear Mr. Harper,
    It was with great interest that I read your recent speech with regards to Iraq.
    It is most unfortunate that this debate has been so tinged with emotional
    extremism; anti-American invective on one hand, and romantic oversimplification
    on the other. I must respectfully assert that many of the statements in your
    speech are half-truths, and fall into the latter category. Though the notion
    that a citizen could communicate with a political leader and have an exchange
    of ideas beyond platitudes and bulk mail probably died with the coming of the
    marketing-ized "new politics," I will engage in this little exercise if only
    for my own interest. I do hope that you would read this through and consider a
    few things that I suggest, though I am cynical and do not expect much from our
    political system.

    "We appreciate that our colleagues in the Bloc Quebecois..."
    This does remind one that the vast majority of Quebecois are opposed to war on
    Iraq, and that a decision to go to war on Iraq could at worst provoke a
    national unity crisis, and at best give the separatists a strong weapon.
    Mackenzie King, who valued Canadian autonomy and national unity above all else,
    had a policy of never moving forward on a major decision without the agreement
    or acquiescence of all regional groups within Canada. By that same account, the
    federal government should not have moved ahead on Kyoto, as Alberta was not in
    agreement. Such a policy spared Canada much national unity grief, and it is
    little wonder that Jack Granatstein has proclaimed King's performance as Prime
    Minister to be as close to perfection as possible.

    "We have waited 12 years for Saddam Hussein...Iraq's continued defiance of the
    community of nations presents a challenge which must be addressed."
    Iraq has defied 17 resolutions, and that is certainly terrible. However, many
    nations have defied resolutions and not received retribution. I am not anti-
    Israeli (the Israel-Palestine conflict is one that yields little interest for
    me), but the fact is that Israel has defied 31 resolutions. It would seem,
    then, that military actions should not be taken unless the regime in question
    constitutes an immediate threat to world security. Considering that Iraq has
    not attempted to invade other nations in 12 years, and that allied intelligence
    reports have been contradicted by weapons inspectors and, in some cases,
    discredited entirely (as in the graduate student paper, and the refined uranium
    purchases which were shown to be fabricated), and given that the current crisis
    was allowed to drag on as long as it did, all seem to suggest that Iraq is not
    an immediate threat to world security. Such an argument is further supported by
    the fact that much of the evidence that the allies have presented, according to
    intelligence experts like Janice Stein, has been old; if the evidence is old,
    how then is Iraq suddenly a greater danger in 2003? If Iraq has not attacked
    another country in 12 years and intelligence reports to verify its weapons
    productions have proved dubious at best, then how can it be said that Iraq is
    an immediate threat?

    "The inspections process has been a failure. It has not resulted in
    disarmament."
    This is an oversimplification of the type one might expect from a character
    like David Frum. According to American intelligence sources, during the period
    of 1991-98, UN Inspectors successfully disarmed 95% of Iraq's destructive
    capability. Weapons inspectors were able to report not insignificant progress
    during their inspection process. In Hans Blix's finally report to the UN,
    largely drowned out by the drums of war, the chief inspector stated that he
    could have declared Iraq to be officially disarmed in just a few more weeks.
    Weapons inspections showed their merit very clearly from 91-98, and were
    getting results in 2003. To so contemptuously dismiss the work of the weapons
    inspectors is a disservice.

    "Jacques Chirac and the Gaullists of France have once again been preoccupied
    more with agendas targeted on the Anglo-American word than on the regime of
    Saddam Hussein."
    This is perhaps the greatest misrepresentation of all - the notion that the
    only thing standing between the allies and war against Hussein was but a small
    group of aristocratic, anti-American Frenchmen. The fact of the matter is that,
    no matter how little proponents of the war like to admit it, the weight of
    world opinion is against the war on Iraq - it is the majority of all people,
    not just a few Frenchmen. Among those nations whose populace is by a majority
    opposed to war are Great Britain, Mexico, virtually all Western European
    countries and, yes, Canada. No matter how you frame it, a majority of Canadians
    are not interesting in fighting in a war on Iraq. It then seems quite
    disingenuous to accuse the United Nations of being "irrelevant" for asserting,
    as it was designed to do, the weight of world opinion. I dislike the idea of a
    world in which the United Nations is a Canadian Senate, existing merely to
    rubber stamp policies with which world opinion does not agree.

    "Indeed, without strong leadership of leading powers, usually the U.S.A., the
    failures of the United Nations are too numerous and too grisly to even mention."
    This is another very gross misrepresentation of the facts. Certainly the UN has
    let some very unfortunate events slip through its grasp - but it can safely be
    said, without being anti-American, that the role of the United States'
    leadership has not always been as righteous as this line would suggest. In the
    Rwandan crisis, for example, the United States worked to obfuscate attempts to
    intervene; considering that President Clinton publicly apologized to the people
    of Rwanda for the United States' role in the affair, to refute this statement
    seems rather futile. A similar event occurred during the East Timorese Crisis
    of 1978; Daniel Patrick Moynihan would later boast in his biography about his
    ability to render the UN impotent. There are other examples, but I do not wish
    to embark on some sort of anti-American rant. Suffice it to say that the US has
    not always been the most faithful defender of collective security. Also, the UN
    has become considerably better at enforcing collective security since the end
    of the Cold War, embarking on over twice as many peacekeeping missions during
    the period of 1991-2001 than it did during the period of 1946-1991.

    "Since Saddam Hussein came to power in 1979 more than one million have died as
    a consequence...They have died in invasions launched against his neighbours..."
    You fail to mention, of course, that Saddam Hussein came to power with the aid
    of the CIA. Moreover, in the Iran-Iraq War, to which you allude, Iraq was
    supported by the Western powers, including both the United States and France.
    It seems somewhat inconsistent to support a war, and later claim it to be an
    atrocity.

    "Reading only the polls..."
    In his very interesting book Think Big, Preston Manning spoke at great length
    of the importance of being a true delegate by representing the wishes of one's
    constituents. He even went so far as to argue that, though he personally was
    never put in such a position, a member of parliament should argue his
    constituents' position even if that position is not the same as his own. It
    seems odd, then, that when Jean Chretien chooses to represent the wishes of a
    significant majority of Canadians, the Canadian Alliance, the supposed
    champions of direct democracy, reacts so derisively. When Preston Manning
    fulfils the wishes of his constituents he is a hero; when Jean Chretien does
    it, he is an unprincipled coward. I do not understand this apparent
    inconsistency in Alliance policy. I do seem to recall that in an article you co-
    authored with Tom Flanagan, which I read in After Liberalism, you criticized
    Manning's delegational democracy as "Bonapartism." In all frankness, the idea
    that the majority opinion of the Canadian people should overridden by their
    government seems very elitist to me and, moreover, the sort of thing that I
    would have expected the Canadian Alliance to denounce.

    "...the government has, for the first time in our history, left us outside our
    British and American allies in their time of need."
    This is untrue. Canada did not support the United States in Vietnam as you
    know, though I'd be interested to hear if you would question that decision - I
    suspect that most in both Canada and the US would agree that avoiding Vietnam
    was probably a good thing. In 1922 Canada refused to offer any assistance to
    Britain in the Chanak Crisis, despite pledges of support by Australia and New
    Zealand - a decision that most historians have since vindicated as the correct
    one. Canada's response to the Suez Crisis of 1956 was at the time seen as a
    shameless abandonment of Great Britain; today it is regarded as one of Canada's
    finest achievements. Canada has in the past refused to act in accord with the
    US and Britain and, at least in the examples I cited, the end result was better
    for it.

    "Our government is not part of the multilateral coalition in support of this
    action and it has not been part of any coalition opposing it."
    This would seem to be in Canada's best interest; if we are to oppose the war,
    it makes sense that we should do so quietly and respectfully, forsaking the
    anti-American bombast of France of Germany.

    "Canada did not merely stand with the Americans, we more often than not led the
    way."
    I'm sad to say that this statement seems to be an exaggeration. Especially in
    the Cold War period, Canada followed a lot of orders and, through not much
    fault of her own, does not seem to have had much influence, and the world was
    usually the worse for it. An example I can think of is the Korean War, which
    the Canadian government opposed; however, when the US insisted, Canada did
    follow. Our advice was largely ignored, and with disastrous consequences.
    Lester Pearson warned the allied commanders that advancing beyond the North
    Korea-South Korea border would provoke a declaration of war by China and
    escalate the aggression; I need not mention that Pearson was precisely correct.
    In the end over 300 Canadians died fighting a war with which their government
    didn't really agree, and fought on a scale that, had their government been
    listened to, would have been much smaller. As defense spending accounted for
    40% of Canada's budget during this period, it seems somewhat unrealistic to
    assume that Canada's lack of influence during the Korean War was due a weak
    military. I think the Korean example largely debunks the notion that a larger
    military would buy Canada more influence in Washington but, then, I'm sure you
    would disagree with that.

    "We must rediscover our own values."
    I should hope that this is not intended as a finger-wagging at the Canadian
    public for not agreeing with the war on Iraq. Suffice is to say that whatever
    Canadian values were once is a matter of much historical debate, and that
    Canada's values in the future will continue to be shaped by largely ephemeral
    forces; it seems rather self-defeating to attempt to change the values of a
    nation or, as "rediscover" would suggest, turn back time.

    I would finally like to address the so-called "liberal argument" for war on
    Iraq: that war is necessary to "liberate" the Iraqi people. I am somewhat
    caustic of this argument, as it has innate and immovable double standards. Yes,
    Saddam Hussein is an evil tyrant. There are, however, many such tyrants in the
    world in which we live. Countries like Pakistan and Saudi Arabia are controlled
    by autocratic, regressive, and often brutal regimes; Yemen is acknowledged by
    the United States as a state which contributes to terrorism; and China's human
    rights violations, against both Tibet and Mainland dissidents, are unspeakable.
    All of these are terrible governments who oppress their people; Pakistanis,
    Saudi Arabians, Yemenis, and Chinese are surely no less deserving of democracy
    than Iraqis. The problem with the "liberation doctrine" is that to apply it
    fairly would mean a century of warfare - it therefore can only be applied
    selectively. I believe that the creation of democracy is best facilitated from
    the bottom-up, not from the top-down. Indeed, the last 10 years have seen the
    creation of more democracies than in any time in history, usually without the
    need for a war. Democracies can be created peacefully by nations without the
    need for foreign imposition.

    If you've actually read this far into this admittedly long-winded email, I am
    surely impressed. The point of this communication is to show the apparent
    leader of the pro-war side in Canada that the argument against war is logical,
    moral, widespread and, if not convincing your agreement, then at least
    deserving of your respect. It has also, perhaps, been an excuse for me to extol
    rather boringly upon a subject of intense interest to me. Democracy yet lives
    in Canada.
    To sum, my arguments are as follows:
    -Canada's national unity is imperiled by a pro-war decision due to fierce
    opposition in Quebec.
    -That Iraq's defiance of UN resolutions is certainly a bad thing, but military
    action should only be taken against a country that is clearly an immediate
    threat to world peace. Given Iraq's lack of action over the last 12 years, and
    given the questionable nature and oldness of allied intelligence reports, such
    a categorization seems untenable.
    -Reports by UN weapons inspectors suggest that inspections were making
    progress, and reports by American intelligence officials from the period of 91-
    98 prove that inspections can work. Speeches in which politicians refute the
    claims of weapons inspectors and don't bother to cite their sources fail to
    sway my belief in the inspections process.
    -It is not just the French aristocrats who oppose war; the majority of world
    opinion, including in countries like the UK, Mexico, Western European nations,
    and Canada, are opposed to war. The Toronto Star's conclusion that "we are in
    good company" seems quite accurate.
    -The presumption that the UN only does good things under the leadership of the
    United States is not supported by fact.
    -We in the West should accept the role we played in Hussein's assent if we are
    to prevent such an error from occurring again.
    -The Canadian people are against participating in this war, and to suggest that
    their opinion should be overridden as wrong by a government that somehow knows
    better is elitist.
    -Canada has not always acted in accord in the US and UK, and on such occasions
    things seemed to turn out fairly well for Canada.
    -If Canada is not to join a war on Iraq, it should do so quietly and
    respectfully. The notion that Canada has to be either pro-war or adopt a French-
    German anti-American stance is an over implication.
    -The "Liberal doctrine" of regime change can never be applied equally;
    democracy has proven itself perfectly able to develop, in time, from the bottom-
    up without foreign interference.

    The final note in your speech I must contend is "I believe most Canadians will
    quietly stand with us." This is not reflected whatsoever in any public opinion
    testing. Members of the conservative press, certain provincial premiers, and
    people like David Frum, will surely stand with you, though quite loudly, I'm
    sure. The majority of the Canadian people will stand with the government's
    position, while many others will stand outside, in rain or shine, to protest a
    war that they view as unnecessary.
    Anyway, thanks for reading.

    Sincerely,
    Stephen Hutchison

    Current Mood: upset
    Wednesday, March 19th, 2003
    9:25 am
    Why Canada Won't Fight.
    For any Americans out there wondering why Canada won't be joining them in this war, here are some reasons.

    National Unity:
    The French-speaking majority in the province of Quebec is fiercely anti-war. To join a war on Iraq would be to willingly hand a very powerful weapon to the separatists. There is little doubt that a pro-war stance by the Canadian government would have caused Quebec nationalism, already startlingly high, to surge. Above all, Canada's national unity must be maintained. Economic retribution by the United States is temporary; the break-up of Canadian Confederation is forever.

    Public Opinion:
    For the last 6 months, Canada has debated Iraq ad nauseum. The debate on whether or not to join a unilateral American war has come to an end, and the anti-war side has won decisively. Though a slim majority, 52%, would have been willing to support a UN sponsored attack on Iraq, without the UN that number drops dramatically to just 15%. Polls indicate that support for the government's position sits at around 70% throughout all of Canada. The Canadian people have decided against war; the government is merely carrying out their wishes. The thought must be strange for Burkean elitists like Tony Blair and John Howard, the former who will likely get away with it, the latter whose party will, I predict, be crippled by his decision.

    Multilateralism:
    The sixty years since the end of the Second World War have taught Canadians that trying to influence American policy bilaterally is tantamount to repeatedly slamming one's head into a brick wall. The only hope for Canada to have influence on the world stage is to build consensus through multilateral institutions. Unilateralist wars are not in the spirit of multilateralism, somewhat obviously, and therefore are not in the best interest of Canadians to support. Moreover, the Bush administration has been very unilateralist, throwing out the Kyoto Accord, the International Criminal Court, the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty, and now disregarding the United Nations. All these efforts diminish multilateralism and, by association, Canadian influence, and therefore are not in the interest of Canada.

    Domestic Politics:
    There is no doubt that Jean Chretien has once again completely outflanked his political opponents with this move. All the opposition parties had worked on the assumption that the Canadian government would eventually acquiesce to the United States. The New Democratic Party had been making strong progress in the polls by using anti-war sentiment to cut into Chretien's left-flank. The NDP gains will likely be kept, but this anti-war stand by the Liberal Party has halted the New Democratic advance. The separatist parties, meanwhile, which had banked on being able to cite a crisis between "the Canadian and Quebecois nations," can only mutedly applaud the Prime Minister for his decision.
    With leftward opposition effectively contained by the stand, that leaves only the hapless Canadian Alliance, and its cold and cynical leader, Stephen Harper. The Alliance had obviously assumed that the Liberals would eventually support the US. They planned, certainly not unreasonably, to be able to portray the Liberals as waffling allies, stumbling all over the map inconsistently before finally joining the US at the 11th hour. Since the Alliance had supported the US all along, they would have argued, it would have been better to have the Alliance running things as at least they would have been consistent. Well, kiss goodbye to that strategy. Now Stephen Harper and his stupid alliance find themselves the only pro-war party in an anti-war country, stuck defending an untenable position. Jean Chretien has kept the Alliance where it belongs - on the political fringes.
    And that, ladies and gentlemen, is how you kick serious ass at Canadian politics.

    So there you have it. For Canada's national unity, public opinion, and commitment to multilateralism, she will not be joining a war. That it's clearly the most politically astute decision to make given the political climate doesn't hurt either.

    Current Mood: very happy
    Monday, March 17th, 2003
    6:04 am
    Musings on Canada's relationship with the United States.
    It's early in the morning, and I feel like musing about the nature of Canada's "alliance" with the US. Don't blame me if this turns out to be dreadfully boring. With the US poised to enter a war with which a vast majority of Canadians do not agree, questions of how independent Canada can be of the US are very pertinent.

    The argument often spouted by American jingos is that Canada has a duty to always support the US in every dispute because Canada enjoys America's "military umbrella." They point to Canada's low defense spending as "freeloading" on US defense spending and emphasize that not to support the US in disputes, given Canada's apparent military reliance on the US, would be an act of tremendous ingratitude. I find this argument to be false. Canada's low defense spending is based not on the assumption that the United States would protect her in case of invasion by a foreign country, but on the knowledge that the chances of such an invasion are interminably minute. Geostrategically speaking, Canada is isolated and insignificant. Even in the days before the United States had entered super-power status, when Canada therefore could not enjoy such a "military umbrella," Canadian military spending was still incredibly low. The only foreign country to ever invade Canada is the United States. The notion that Canada could be invaded by a foreign country is contemplated not by strategic planners but by comedians.
    Some might argue, not illogically, that the new threat of terrorism transcends the previous notion of the "foreign invader" and therefore increases Canadian reliance on American military might. However, it is most likely that Canada would only be targeted for terrorist attack as an ally of the United States. Moreover, given the new interventionist leanings of the current American administration, Canada's alliance with the US could drag her into foreign conflicts in which Canada has little or no direct interest. Seen in the light of these two points, Canada's alliance with the United States seems somewhat disadvantageous.
    There are, however, two strong reasons for the Canadian alliance with the United States: economic and sentimental. That Canada's economy is inextricably linked to America's is a truism. One third of Canada's economy is directly tied to the United States, including 80% of Canada's exports. In many ways, Canada is the junior economic partner of the United States, a position which, all things considered, has been greatly to Canada's economic benefit. It is important, however, not to overstate the economic connection. Despite what the political right would have you believe, the United States does not demand obseqious obedience to ensure beneficial economic policy. Part of the reason for this lies in the symbiotic nature of the Canadian and American economies. It is true that America is highly important to Canada's economy, but it is also true that Canada is important to America's economy. Attempts to enact economic retribution for Canadian disobedience, therefore, often have the undesirable effect of damaging the American economy as well. American voters, I'm sure, appreciate the idea of keeping the Canadians in line, but not at the cost of their jobs.
    History finds many examples where American politicians were filled with sound and fury at Canadian policy, but were largely helpless to do much about it. Canada's refusal to join the Vietnam War earned the Canadian consulate in Washington a lot verbal abuse, but the Canadian economy did not suffer. Likewise for Trudeau's Nation Energy Program, which provoked vitriolic anger by American lawmakers, but very little action. Witness the current state of affairs, where the Canadian economy has continued to remain strong despite a sour relationship between the Chretien and Bush administrations.
    In my assessment, Canada's economic interests in the United States are such that Canada can, and should, choose to act independently of the United States. The main factor that prevents complete Canadian autonomy is the fear of economic retribution. It would seem, then, that in being autonomous of the United States, to paraphrase an American president, Canada has nothing to fear but fear itself.
    That leaves as the last remaining reason for Canadian alliance with the United States to be sentimentality. I believe this factor to be very important. Supporting the United States' war on terrorism offers no tangible benefits to Canada and only invites potential terrorist attacks that would likely not be a threat were Canada not aligned with the United States. However, Canadians consider the fight against terrorism to be a noble cause, and do not fear terrorist repirsal. Therefore, Canada supports the American war on terror - not because it hopes to "get something out of it," (as there is little really to get), but because the Canadian people believe it to be the moral thing to do.
    I believe that is the standard by which Canada must decide its foreign policy - morality. Canada should support the actions of the United States when the morality of the two countries intersect, as it does with regards to terrorism. Equally though, Canada should not feel afraid to not support actions by the United States which Canadian morality in general opposes, such as unilateralist military action. I believe that Canada's current stance with regards to Iraq is a good example of such a policy, as Canada has allowed itself the freedom to not participate in a unilateral war on Iraq, and has maintained a low and vague enough profile so as not to incur excessive American ire. Canada will therefore likely be able to sit out the new Persian Gulf War without any attempt at economic retribution by the United States.

    Current Mood: quixiotic
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